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i was talking to maxbittker about this https://gwern.net/doc/technology/2004-03-30-shirky-situatedsoftware.html reading it now it feels like the predictions are totally wrong even though the observations are correct -- if anything the opposite of what it predicted has happened
gwern.netShirky: Situated SoftwareClay Shirky's writings about the Internet, including Economics and Culture, Media and Community, Open Source
@omar His track record is poor overall, as many of us predicted back then 