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#elections

70 posts48 participants9 posts today
Miguel Afonso Caetano

"When billionaire Bill Ackman suggested on Twitter that Eric Adams could “place a large [Polymarket] bet on Andrew Cuomo and then announce [his] withdrawal” from the New York City mayoral race, he described something that feels profoundly illegal. A politician profiting from non-public knowledge of their own withdrawal from an election surely crosses some line — insider trading? Market manipulation? Election interference? Illegal gambling? Ackman ended his tweet: “There is no insider trading on Polymarket” — not because it doesn’t happen, but because it won’t be charged. He’s right: the Securities and Exchange Commission’s insider trading rules don’t apply here. But that leaves the question: what rules, if any, do?

As Ackman says, prediction markets fall outside the SEC’s jurisdiction, living in a different regulatory world than stock markets where executives get prosecuted for trading on non-public earnings or tipping off friends about upcoming mergers. Unlike crypto’s ongoing turf wars between regulators, prediction markets have a clear home: the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which oversees futures, swaps, and other derivatives trading. A farmer worried about a poor wheat harvest can buy futures contracts that rise in value if wheat prices increase, helping to offset the money lost from selling less grain. An airline can buy oil-based futures contracts to offset the risk of jet fuel costs rising, effectively letting them budget fuel at today’s prices even if market rates climb before delivery. Some derivatives markets more closely resemble prediction markets, dealing in events rather than commodities — for instance, ski resorts can hedge against poor snowfall by trading weather-based contracts.

While farmers hedging wheat prices serves a clear economic purpose, prediction markets operate in murkier territory."

citationneeded.news/prediction

Citation Needed · Prediction markets are booming. Oversight is barely there.Prediction markets once lived on the academic fringe. Now they’re trading billions on politics, sports, and celebrity gossip — under rules never designed for retail gamblers.
#USA#PredictionMarkets#MarketManipulation
Kim Perales

🚨The #DOJ filed lawsuits against ME & OR Tues, escalating its campaign to obtain sensitive voter reg data from states across the C.

The unprecedented legal action marks a major turning pt in the DOJ’s effort to force states to turn over unredacted voter rolls & list maint records.

ME SOS Bellows🚨blasted the DOJ’s lawsuit as an #AbuseOfPower, & an attempt to strong-arm states into handing over sensitive voter data.
#Fascism #TrumpRegime #Elections #VotingRights #USPol democracydocket.com/news-alert

Democracy DocketDOJ Sues Maine, Oregon in Aggressive Move to Seize State Voter DataRead more here.
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Milo Dide

Fight back against voter suppression by checking your voter registration status or registering to vote at the National Voter Registration Day website. click.actionnetwork.org/ss/c/u

And here’s another way to defend #democracy: contact your #governor. click.actionnetwork.org/ss/c/u

National Voter Registration Day · Register to Vote/Check Registration | National Voter Registration DayIf you’re looking to register to vote or check/update your voter registration, you’re in the right place! Not sure if you need to update your registration? Here’s a list of reasons to check your status: You’ve moved You’ve changed your name since you last voted You got married Here you can quickly and easily get
#elections#vote
boksy

"The single most important thing for the Democrats in the next 400 days is therefore to bring those economic costs irresistibly home to voters.

Democrats won’t win just by talking about the defense of democracy, important though that is, let alone by engaging in culture wars.

They need to focus relentlessly on kitchen-table issues. In doing so, they will also show that they do actually care about the ordinary working- and middle-class Americans whose support they have lost over the last 30 years."

theguardian.com/commentisfree/

The Guardian · Americans have 400 days to save their democracyBy Timothy Garton Ash
#Democracy#Democrats#USPol
Manu :gts3d:

🗳️ :drapeau_qc: Les prochaines #élections générales provinciales sont prévues le 5 octobre 2026 au #Québec.

Souhaitez-vous que la #CAQ déclenche une élection générale anticipée?

· 6 people ·
Élections Québec · Élections en cours et à venirDes élections générales provinciales, municipales et scolaires se tiennent habituellement tous les quatre ans. Des élections partielles peuvent se tenir entre deux élections générales.
#Sondage#PolQc#QcPol
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